kalshi
Elections
Will Reform UK win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Reform UK
14%
implied YES probability
-5.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 32 days ·
High 40% ·
Low 11%
· 7d +33.3pp
· 30d -59.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.0¢ | 1000 | 18.0¢ | 3252 | |
| 16.0¢ | 188 | 19.0¢ | 3170 | |
| 15.0¢ | 2500 | 20.0¢ | 5 | |
| 14.0¢ | 2500 | 23.0¢ | 10 | |
| 8.0¢ | 66 | 24.0¢ | 3734 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 17.5¢
Trade on Kalshi
Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.