What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Above 0

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 1.6K Open interest 1.8K Event Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/5 - 7/11)

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 17% · Low 5%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.