What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 30, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Labour

Closes Jul 30, 2027 (385d) 24h volume 99 Open interest 8.2K Event Greater Manchester mayoral election winner?

92%

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 94% · Low 80% · 7d +3.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.