What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Ariana Grande

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 32 Open interest 477 Event Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

56%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 66% · Low 52% · 7d +10.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.