What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 48%, implying a 48% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Tom Holland

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 1.7K Event Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

48%

implied YES probability

Last 33 days · High 85% · Low 26% · 7d +12.5pp · 30d -14.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.