What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 07, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?

Graham Platner

Closes Jul 07, 2027 (362d) 24h volume 109.1K Open interest 111.0K Event Maine Senate winner? (Person)

implied YES probability

-2.1pp 24h

Price history

Last 3 days · High 3% · Low 1%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for the 2026 Maine Senate election is currently indicating a 1% probability that one candidate will emerge victorious, with a YES price of $0.01. This assessment is based on current information and trends, including the candidates' past performances, party affiliations, and campaign strategies. The market's low confidence in any particular outcome may be attributed to the uncertainty surrounding voter sentiment, potential last-minute changes in the political landscape, or other factors that could influence the election's outcome. A significant shift in these underlying dynamics would likely impact the YES price, potentially driving it higher if a clear frontrunner emerges or lower if the race remains competitive. The market will close on July 7, 2027, at which point the actual winner of the election will be revealed, providing a definitive answer to this question.

Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
0.4¢	3460	0.6¢	1000
0.3¢	3589	0.7¢	408
0.2¢	10897	0.8¢	498
0.1¢	8201	0.9¢	2624
		1.0¢	6000

Spread 0.2¢ · Mid 0.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.