What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Before August 1, 2026

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 250 Open interest 772 Event Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?

18%

implied YES probability

Last 7 days · High 19% · Low 11%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.