What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Grady Emerson

Closes Jul 21, 2026 (11d) 24h volume 3.7K Open interest 13.2K Event Pro Baseball #1 Overall Pick

40%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 47% · Low 14%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.