What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Vahn Lackey

Closes Jul 21, 2026 (11d) 24h volume 8.6K Open interest 19.6K Event Pro Baseball #1 Overall Pick

28%

implied YES probability

+11.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 26% · Low 12% · 7d -11.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.