What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 15.5 billion

Closes Aug 28, 2026 (49d) 24h volume 23 Open interest 2.4K Event Altria cigarette shipments in Q2

36%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 30 days · High 41% · Low 23% · 7d +8.6pp

MO Altria Group, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.