What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 43%, implying a 43% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2031. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

China

Closes Jan 01, 2031 (1659d) 24h volume 2 Open interest 21.0K Event Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

43%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 80 days · High 50% · Low 20% · 7d -3.6pp · 30d +9.8pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.