What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 51%, implying a 51% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2031. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

United States

Closes Jan 01, 2031 (1659d) 24h volume 107 Open interest 31.2K Event Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

51%

implied YES probability

-1.9pp 24h

Last 89 days · High 74% · Low 47% · 7d -11.3pp · 30d -5.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.