What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

More than $1.2 trillion

Closes Jun 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 5.3K Open interest 44.0K Event How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

50%

implied YES probability

Last 79 days · High 99% · Low 35% · 7d +54.7pp · 30d +130.2pp

Spread 0.0¢ · Mid 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.