What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Below $1 trillion

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 290 Open interest 270 Event Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $1 trillion in 2026?

54%

implied YES probability

+86.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 86% · Low 86%

Not enough price history yet.

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.