What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jan 1, 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 1.5K Open interest 2.0K Event Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.?

72%

implied YES probability

+14.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 72% · Low 58%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.