What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2070. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Anders Arborelius

Closes Jan 01, 2070 (15881d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 4.2K Event Who will the next Pope be?

implied YES probability

Last 41 days · High 5% · Low 2% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -48.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.