What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2070. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Pierbattista Pizzaballa

Closes Jan 01, 2070 (15881d) 24h volume 34 Open interest 2.9K Event Who will the next Pope be?

implied YES probability

Last 42 days · High 7% · Low 3% · 7d +12.9pp · 30d -50.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.