What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 55%, implying a 55% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Keith Sonderling

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 362 Open interest 6.4K Event Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

55%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 33 days · High 57% · Low 20% · 7d +58.3pp · 30d +119.2pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.