What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Houston

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 40 Open interest 517 Event Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

20%

implied YES probability

Last 12 days · High 34% · Low 19% · 7d -24.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.