What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 580,000

Closes Jun 24, 2026 (7d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 70 Event US new home sales for May

96%

implied YES probability

Last 5 days · High 94% · Low 92%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.