What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Yes

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 122 Open interest 26.4K Event Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

10%

implied YES probability

Last 58 days · High 38% · Low 8% · 7d +34.2pp · 30d -8.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.