What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Yes

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 191 Open interest 14.4K Event Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

implied YES probability

-2.4pp 24h

Last 67 days · High 21% · Low 6% · 7d -37.8pp · 30d -56.9pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.