What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Before 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 25 Open interest 57.9K Event Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

18%

implied YES probability

Last 79 days · High 28% · Low 18% · 7d +1.7pp · 30d -9.0pp

Spread 2.9¢ · Mid 20.4¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.