What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

At least 2

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 458 Open interest 2.9K Event Major news story in Jul 2026?

40%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 56% · Low 35% · 7d +37.1pp

NYT New York Times Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.