What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before 2029

Closes Jan 01, 2029 (929d) 24h volume 99 Open interest 27.8K Event Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

10%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 36 days · High 13% · Low 5% · 7d +20.0pp · 30d +9.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.