What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Obsession

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (562d) 24h volume 986 Open interest 986 Event Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay

22%

implied YES probability

+19.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 9% · Low 9%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.