What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 55%, implying a 55% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Wild Horse Nine

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (562d) 24h volume 85 Open interest 697 Event Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay

55%

implied YES probability

Last 6 days · High 61% · Low 53%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.