What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 49%, implying a 49% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

10 to 24

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 2.8K Event How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?

49%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 41% · Low 9% · 7d +322.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.