What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 100,000

Closes Sep 04, 2026 (56d) 24h volume 19 Open interest 195 Event Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

50%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 51% · Low 46%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.