What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 62%, implying a 62% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 40,000

Closes Dec 04, 2026 (170d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 2 Event Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

62%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 69% · Low 51% · 7d -9.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.