What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 33%, implying a 33% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 0.3%

Closes Sep 30, 2026 (105d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 280 Event How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026?

33%

implied YES probability

Last 11 days · High 34% · Low 24% · 7d +7.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.