What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 0.3%

Closes Jun 25, 2026 (8d) 24h volume 1.9K Open interest 9.9K Event How much will core PCE increase in May 2026?

42%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 29 days · High 47% · Low 5% · 7d +272.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.