What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 73 Open interest 1.3K Event Will permitting reform become law in 2026?

42%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 42% · Low 35% · 7d +20.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.