What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Joaquin Niemann

Closes Jul 05, 2026 (18d) 24h volume 99.9K Open interest 927.7K Event U.S. Open Winner

implied YES probability

Last 23 days · High 2% · Low 1% · 7d -40.0pp

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.9¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.