What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Decrease 0-0.99%

Closes Jun 01, 2028 (714d) 24h volume 51 Open interest 8.6K Event NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

42%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 82 days · High 66% · Low 2% · 7d +4.8pp · 30d +12.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.