What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Uruguay

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 431 Open interest 5.1K Event What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

80%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 22 days · High 84% · Low 43% · 7d +15.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.