What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before July 7, 2026

Closes Jul 14, 2026 (27d) 24h volume 839 Open interest 10.9K Event Bill Pulte sworn in as Acting DNI?

42%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 71% · Low 14% · 7d +114.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.