What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before 2027

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 38 Open interest 18.0K Event Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

13%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 87 days · High 32% · Low 6% · 7d +15.4pp · 30d -16.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.