What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 14000

Closes Sep 03, 2026 (78d) 24h volume 7 Open interest 265 Event Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q2

12%

implied YES probability

Last 10 days · High 19% · Low 3% · 7d -21.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.