What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 11000

Closes Sep 03, 2026 (78d) 24h volume 146 Open interest 1.7K Event Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q2

42%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 55% · Low 26% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.