What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $0.75

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 4 Open interest 1.2K Event NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in July

12%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 60% · Low 4% · 7d +200.0pp

NVDA Nvidia Corp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.