What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 21%, implying a 21% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Above $1.26

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 156 Open interest 1.1K Event Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?

21%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 93% · Low 14% · 7d -45.5pp

NVDA Nvidia Corp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.