What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $0.50

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 173 Open interest 1.1K Event NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Hourly price on Jul 10 (Week 28)

82%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 91% · Low 64% · 7d +40.6pp

NVDA Nvidia Corp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.