What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

Above 1

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 561 Open interest 5.7K Event How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

22%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 17 days · High 98% · Low 16% · 7d -28.1pp

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Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

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