What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Above 5 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

Above 5

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 416 Open interest 3.9K Event How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

14%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 14 days · High 86% · Low 10% · 7d +60.0pp

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Above 5 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

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