What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Nov 1, 2026

Closes Nov 01, 2026 (114d) 24h volume 29 Open interest 337 Event When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

12%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 16% · Low 15%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.