What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 429.4

Closes Jul 14, 2026 (27d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 144 Event US shelter CPI in June

38%

implied YES probability

-17.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 87% · Low 3%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.