What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 9%, implying a 9% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Nov 3, 2026

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (116d) 24h volume 290 Open interest 17.1K Event Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?

implied YES probability

+1.1pp 24h

Last 63 days · High 32% · Low 5% · 7d -27.5pp · 30d -58.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.