What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 11, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Industrials

Closes Jan 11, 2028 (573d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 6.2K Event What sector will SpaceX be assigned to in the S&P?

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 24% · Low 2% · 7d -45.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.