What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 11, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Unassigned

Closes Jan 11, 2028 (573d) 24h volume 1.5K Open interest 8.4K Event What sector will SpaceX be assigned to in the S&P?

implied YES probability

Last 5 days · High 12% · Low 1%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.